ブックタイトル佐藤栄作　受賞論文集

概要

佐藤栄作　受賞論文集

economically more interdependent and a strategy based on nuclear retaliation canundermine one's own interests without significantly moderating the behavior of anadversary.In spite of this, a nuclear strategy based on deterrence is still favored by somenuclear weapons states 27 . Mindful that it is not the number of nuclear weapons thatmatter but the number that can survive a first strike 28 , a deterrent strategy couldaccelerate the development of nuclear weapons or could spread nuclear weapons tostrategically significant locations. Thus, an external threat of insecurity, mitigated bynuclear weapons deterrent, tends to accentuate insecurity, resulting in the escalationof nuclear weapons development. Conversely, as has been noted with the case ofSouth Africa and the Soviet Union, the removal of an external threat of insecurityfrom a nuclear weapons threat can accentuate the prospects of nuclear disarmament.Prospects for DisarmamentNuclear disarmament is inherently a process that requires the support andcommitment of all states. Since the end of WWII, progress has clearly been made ineliminating nuclear weapons, with some states renouncing the use of nuclear weaponsaltogether. Equally, new nuclear weapons states have emerged, whilst others havepreferred the status quo.The entry into force of the NPT and the support accorded to the CTBT hasclearly enhanced the prospects for eliminating nuclear weapons. Not only has it reaffirmedthe ultimate objective of nuclear weapons disarmament, it has also providedthe framework for a set of common standards to support a future, sustainable andeffective nuclear disarmament regime. However, refraining from acquiring and testing77027 Ibid., Hansell & Perfilyev.28 Rowen, H., 2001, Lessons for Riding a Nuclear Tiger, The Australian Financial Review, 20/04/2001.