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佐藤栄作 受賞論文集

national pension system is currently of the greatest concern to the general citizens inJapan. Back in 1950, there were 9.3 people below 20 for every person over 65; by 2025,this proportion is predicted to become 0.59:1 (United Nations, 2004). While statisticallynational pension system today is operated by four working population supporting onesenior citizen, in 2015 it will decrease to two supporting one, which results in unequalbalance between what one must pay and what he will gain after retirement. If thepresent system is maintained without any adjustment, national burden ratio of socialsecurity, tax and financial deficit combined on national income will be as high as 73%in 2025 (Yamaguchi 2001:266). Moreover, several aspects of population decrease willresult in stagnant or failing economy and development. Smaller number of childrenwill cause a dearth for working hands, and even if the shortage were to be filled withgreater employment of senior citizens and guest laborers, it is likely that they willlack adaptive ability that the young generation possesses. Furthermore, decrease inemployees in itself will result in less GDP. Industries targeted at the young, such astoy or educational industry, will face downhill spending and smaller market (Akagawa2005:123). As aged individuals in general have the tendency to prefer saving overinvestment, less financial liquidity is expected. The list can go on for quite some time.However, neither the recent population growth nor the current population is by anymeans a standard that must be sustained when one considers how world populationhad been 2.5 billion half a century ago; in nations where sharp drop in population isan issue, one must also pay heed to the positive dimension of the phenomenon orthe community will not be able to take advantage of what merits it offers alongsidedemerits (Yamaguchi 2001:270).Solution of population density is one of the positive results of decline inpopulation, although depending on administrative systems continued urbanization520