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佐藤栄作論文集9~16

“Globalinter-connectivity makeseventsmuchmorecomplex.Anincidentinoneareaisrarelyisolated,anditisusuallylessclearcutwith regard to its root causes. In addition, it almost alwaysbringsseriousrepercussionsorspillovertotheadjacentareas”The financial crisis that hit Southeast Asia in mid-1997 is one clear example of this.The collapse of the Bath in Thailand brought instantaneous effects -- with varyingdegrees of severity -- on the Rupiah, Ringgit, Peso, Won, and even the mightyYen. The problem did not stop there. Russia fell victim too, and so did far awayBrazil. Many comments and analyses were made on the crisis and its devastatingconsequences. However, none pinpointed the exact cause, and instead numerouscontributing factors were cited as possible scapegoats: from massive but unseencapital movement that traversed electronically, to alleged ulterior motives of certaingreedy speculators.The Asian financial crisis provides valuable insights on the complexity of presentday's international relations. It also accords us compelling lessons on how to best dealwith problems arising under complex circumstances. First, as the magnitude, and alsothe speed, of the new problems are dramatically changing, one's responsiveness andcapacity in dealing with a crisis situation tend to be severely limited. The helplessnessof Indonesia and Thailand in facing the crisis is an irrefutable proof of this. In the lightof this, cooperation and coordination with other nations, as well as with international,regional and non-governmental organizations, become extremely crucial. Failure to doso -- for whatever reasons -- would only prolong the problem, hence the sufferings ofthe people.Another lesson the Asian crisis reveals is the absence of initiative in preempting adisastrous crisis from occurring. No doubt there were plenty of prescriptions after the810