ブックタイトル佐藤栄作論文集９～１６

概要

佐藤栄作論文集９～１６

should not render them incapable of managing a crisis. 14Rather the real problemseems to be that the U.N. has no backing and that it insists to take on what no otherstate in its right mind would.The U.N., like any good therapist, needs to recognize why it occasionally succeedsand what are its limits. Although Sadia Touval dismisses past U.N. successes asstemming from“unique circumstances,”one might do well to take a second look atthese insightful circumstances pointed out by Touval:1．The exhaustion of local parties and the unwillingness of external powers tosupport nations whose usefulness had expired with the Cold War.（ex. Iran-Iraq War）2．The willingness of one partner for“re-conciliation”or termination of theconflict.（ex. the saving of face as with the Soviet Union and Afghanistan）3．The effectiveness of the U.N. to work with both parties.Strangely, these conditions are the exact same ones that account for a therapistssuccess in helping two defensive individuals become successfully inter-dependent.That is: that one of the individuals is depressed, that the other is willing to help,and that the therapist can be effective with both partners. 15When these threeconditions exist in unison, Touval is right they do allow the chance for success tobe far greater. When, however, one or more of these conditions does not exist itis likely that regardless of the crisis managers' capabilities? success（as definedby the achievement of a successful inter-dependent relationship）?? is slim. Ratherthan assuming that these are ideal circumstances for UN success, the internationalcommunity should reconsider whether they are necessary ones.The leverage that one attributes to states（bargaining with the parties, the use of37814 Rendering unto states what states do not want will not solve the problem. Decentralization of crisis managementefforts will not get us very far. Regional organizations even if they wanted to take on new problems will beno more effective―nor will states if certain“ideal”conditions for long term solutions fail to exist. In a crisis,even a negotiator from the United States does not have a carte blanche to be entirely free to pursue a dynamicnegotiation, react to events quickly, seize opportunities, or have the necessary flexibility to adjust positions andproposals at whim. The advantage that a state does have is that it has to be more realistic in its selection ofdisputes to mediate. It is after all directly accountable to people who will be sending their children off to die.15 According to LifeTrack therapy, these are ideal conditions. Naturally, they are not the only ones.