ブックタイトル佐藤栄作論文集９～１６

概要

佐藤栄作論文集９～１６

these vacuum areas ? Horn of Africa, ex-Yugoslavia, the Caucasus and Central Asiathepreviously suppressed urge for self-determination and establishment of ethnic andnational identities and has finally found an opportunity to assert itself; yet, there is nopatron to power control it from growing into full-blown force.In addition, the new nationalisms have led to multiplication of power centres withinhitherto monolithic nation-states. In many of the vacuum areas, no one knows whorepresents the legitimate government. Middle-powers such as Great Britain, France,Germany and Japan find themselves lost without clear direction and show onlyambivalent attitudes towards newly emerging claims for“self-determination”. As aresult, aggressive nationalism, religious fundamentalism and ethnic puritanism ? in theform of localised conflicts ? are now left unchecked and savagery and bloodshed areallowed to flourish. Here lies the real threat to peace as we approach the twenty-firstcentury.Characteristics of Localised ConflictsAs analysed above, the collapse of the conflict-control mechanism sustained bynuclear balance of fear has left the room for nationalism and ethnocentricism togrow rampant and manifest itself in the form of localised armed clash. A primarycharacteristic of this new type of armed conflict is that once the fire is sparked, ittends to spread, escalate and continue. There are three principle reasons for thisominous eventuality.First, on the political level, international and regional powers are unable to findoverriding justification for their active involvement in localised conflicts as a resultof their careful cost-benefit analysis of such involvement. The ambivalent andinconsistent attitude of E.C. member states, the United States and U.N. towards the126